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Tito
Joined: 30 Mar 2004
Posts: 1203
Location: is everything |
| sgt_steve wrote: |
Another set of interesting numbers can be found here. It's hard to say what's cause and what's effect, but the numbers are nonetheless interesting. Obligatory quote:
"...In the 2000s, a total of 469 passengers (including crew and terrorists) were killed worldwide as the result of Violent Passenger Incidents, 265 of which were on 9/11 itself. No fatal incidents have occurred since nearly simultaneous bombings of two Russian aircraft on 8/24/2004; this makes for the longest streak without a fatal incident since World War II. The overall death toll during the 2000s is about the same as it was during the 1960s, and substantially less than in the 1970s and 1980s, when violent incidents peaked. The worst individual years were 1985, 1988 and 1989, in that order; 2001 ranks fourth."
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Just follow the El Al model and everything will be fine. Which brings up an interesting point - El Al is a very safe airline to fly so do they have no need for security or is it because of their security? A proven axiom of crime prevention is that you harden one target and criminals go to softer targets. I'm all for making airlines as difficult as possible, given the potential for casualties both in the air and on the ground. Why didn't the guy try to blow up his pants over the Atlantic or Greenland or wherever? Because the potential for casualties was less. No one really knows how many "plots" have been broken up or prevented because of data mining, profiling, etc. We only hear about our prevention failures. Thank god this time the damage was limited to the area around the bomber's shorts. As far as 2001 ranking fourth, that doesn't take into account 911 ground casualties or the enormous economic loss - and intended loss. It could have been much worse.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 11:33 am |
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sgt_steve

Joined: 18 Jan 2005
Posts: 5193
Location: Michissippi |
| Tito wrote: |
| Just follow the El Al model and everything will be fine. Which brings up an interesting point - El Al is a very safe airline to fly so do they have no need for security or is it because of their security? A proven axiom of crime prevention is that you harden one target and criminals go to softer targets. I'm all for making airlines as difficult as possible, given the potential for casualties both in the air and on the ground. Why didn't the guy try to blow up his pants over the Atlantic or Greenland or wherever? Because the potential for casualties was less. No one really knows how many "plots" have been broken up or prevented because of data mining, profiling, etc. We only hear about our prevention failures. Thank god this time the damage was limited to the area around the bomber's shorts. As far as 2001 ranking fourth, that doesn't take into account 911 ground casualties or the enormous economic loss - and intended loss. It could have been much worse. |
Not too long after 9/11 there was a big writeup on how effective El Al had been at keeping hijackers and terrorists off of the planes. The author's opinion was that US travellers would never tolerate what El Al does in terms of searches, limited items in the cabin, etc. Conversely, the author said that probably the most significant deterrent was the more secure doors into the pilot area coupled with a refusal to open that door even if someone had hostages in the cabin. Mind you, at the time they were more worried about hijackers than actual explosives, but you get my drift.
You're dead on about moving on to the easier targets. Dumb terrorists get caught trying to do the same old thing. Smart ones look for the next available target rather than go after the hardened one.
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Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:39 pm |
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